Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Atlético vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
53%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 0
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
FCB
1 - 1
ATM
79%
13%
8%
|
93 | 97 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ATH
1 - 2
ATM
28%
26%
46%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 0
GRA
82%
13%
5%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BET
0 - 2
ATM
17%
25%
58%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
FCB
3 - 1
BET
91%
6%
2%
|
97 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
FCB
1 - 1
ATM
79%
13%
8%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 1
FCB
7%
15%
78%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
FCB
3 - 0
CEL
93%
5%
2%
|
97 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
RMA
3 - 4
FCB
61%
19%
20%
|
97 | 98 | 1 | 0 |