Atlético Gloriense vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
61.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Gloriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 1
ATG
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ADC
1 - 0
ATG
18%
19%
63%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ATG
1 - 4
SER
16%
21%
64%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 0
ATG
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ATG
1 - 0
LAG
18%
22%
60%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 2
SER
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
OSE
2 - 0
ITA
11%
21%
69%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 2
ADC
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 17 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CON
0 - 2
ITA
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 0
CON
19%
27%
54%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +3 |