Atlético Chalaco vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
52.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Chalaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
SPC
0 - 0
CHA
85%
10%
5%
|
8 | 72 | 64 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1980 |
RIV
0 - 0
VEL
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
VEL
4 - 3
HUR
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1980 |
TAL
3 - 1
VEL
68%
20%
13%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
VEL
0 - 2
RAC
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
VEL
3 - 0
CAU
51%
26%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |