Caroní FC vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
57.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caroní FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 2
MIN
18%
22%
60%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 3
MON
16%
22%
62%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
MIN
0 - 1
CAR
44%
25%
32%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 1
CFC
14%
23%
63%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 3
ARA
20%
22%
58%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 2
LAR
30%
30%
41%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ARA
0 - 1
ZUL
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 0
ARA
51%
24%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
ZAM
1 - 2
ARA
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |