1a B Ap. Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Atlético Bucaramanga vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
43.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2014 |
JAG
3 - 0
BUC
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
BUC
1 - 0
UNI
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
BUC
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
BUC
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
BUC
2 - 0
TFC
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2014 |
JAG
3 - 0
BUC
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
JAG
2 - 0
RIO
38%
23%
39%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 1
JAG
50%
22%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
TFC
0 - 2
JAG
23%
29%
48%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
JAG
2 - 0
CUC
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |