Castilla-Leon Cup round 1

Atl. Astorga vs Ponferradina analysis

Atl. Astorga Ponferradina
36 ELO 71
0.6% Tilt -10.1%
6467º General ELO ranking 1308º
213º Country ELO ranking 49º
ELO win probability
9.7%
Atl. Astorga
19.8%
Draw
70.5%
Ponferradina

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
Atl. Astorga
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
70.5%
Win probability
Ponferradina
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atl. Astorga
+21%
-14%
Ponferradina

ELO progression

Atl. Astorga
Ponferradina
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atl. Astorga
Atl. Astorga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 May. 2013
AST
Atl. Astorga
5 - 2
La Virgen del Camino
LVC
54%
23%
23%
36 32 4 0
12 May. 2013
CAB
Atl. Bembibre
2 - 2
Atl. Astorga
AST
45%
25%
31%
36 33 3 0
04 May. 2013
AST
Atl. Astorga
1 - 0
Palencia Cristo Atlético
CAT
72%
18%
10%
36 24 12 0
28 Apr. 2013
SDA
SD Almazán
1 - 2
Atl. Astorga
AST
31%
26%
42%
35 27 8 +1
20 Apr. 2013
AST
Atl. Astorga
2 - 1
Salamanca B
SAL
75%
17%
9%
35 23 12 0

Matches

Ponferradina
Ponferradina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jul. 2013
CDT
Cd Toralense
0 - 14
Ponferradina
PON
6%
15%
79%
71 7 64 0
13 Jul. 2013
FLO
Flores Del Sil
2 - 3
Ponferradina
PON
7%
16%
77%
71 14 57 0
08 Jun. 2013
LUG
CD Lugo
2 - 2
Ponferradina
PON
37%
28%
35%
71 63 8 0
02 Jun. 2013
PON
Ponferradina
2 - 2
Racing
RAC
47%
26%
27%
71 71 0 0
26 May. 2013
MUR
Real Murcia
0 - 2
Ponferradina
PON
33%
29%
38%
71 62 9 0