Atlético Aguilar vs Villalobon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+985%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Aguilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CDV
1 - 2
ATA
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
ATA
4 - 2
SAL
18%
22%
60%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 1
ATA
31%
23%
47%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ATA
0 - 0
BAL
23%
22%
55%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
ATA
77%
14%
9%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Villalobon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
CER
16%
18%
66%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
UDB
1 - 3
VIL
34%
21%
45%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 1
ATA
31%
23%
47%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CER
3 - 0
VIL
85%
10%
5%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
PAL
55%
19%
25%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |