Atlètic Amèrica vs UE Santa Coloma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
58%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
5º
10º
10º
65
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
92.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlètic Amèrica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ESA
2 - 0
AME
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
PEN
27%
22%
51%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
AME
48%
23%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
AME
2 - 3
CAR
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ESA
1 - 1
AME
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UE Santa Coloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
UES
2 - 1
INT
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ESA
0 - 2
UES
29%
27%
45%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
UES
2 - 0
FCO
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
UES
5 - 0
UEE
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FCO
1 - 1
UES
22%
24%
54%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |