Copa MX Apertura round 1

Atlante FC vs Venados FC analysis

Atlante FC Venados FC
72 ELO 65
3.2% Tilt -0.2%
285º General ELO ranking 792º
10º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
62.2%
Atlante FC
21.1%
Draw
16.7%
Venados FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
Atlante FC
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.7%
Win probability
Venados FC
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atlante FC
+18%
+24%
Venados FC

ELO progression

Atlante FC
Venados FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atlante FC
Atlante FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jul. 2013
LEO
León
1 - 0
Atlante FC
ATL
62%
21%
17%
73 78 5 0
06 May. 2013
ATL
Atlante FC
1 - 2
Pumas UNAM
PUM
40%
28%
32%
73 79 6 0
28 Apr. 2013
LEO
León
1 - 0
Atlante FC
ATL
60%
22%
19%
73 77 4 0
22 Apr. 2013
ATL
Atlante FC
2 - 0
Puebla
PUE
45%
26%
29%
72 74 2 +1
15 Apr. 2013
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
1 - 2
Atlante FC
ATL
50%
26%
24%
72 76 4 0

Matches

Venados FC
Venados FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jul. 2013
DEL
Delfines
0 - 1
Venados FC
MER
39%
28%
34%
63 59 4 0
21 Apr. 2013
MER
Venados FC
1 - 1
Altamira
ALT
39%
28%
33%
62 62 0 +1
12 Apr. 2013
LOB
Lobos BUAP
2 - 0
Venados FC
MER
46%
25%
29%
64 63 1 -2
07 Apr. 2013
MER
Venados FC
1 - 2
Cruz Azul
CAZ
49%
27%
24%
64 61 3 0
31 Mar. 2013
VER
Veracruz
5 - 3
Venados FC
MER
50%
26%
24%
65 66 1 -1