Copa MX Apertura round 6

Atlante FC vs Jaguares FC analysis

Atlante FC Jaguares FC
70 ELO 77
6% Tilt -3.5%
646º General ELO ranking 790º
11º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
38.9%
Atlante FC
25.7%
Draw
35.3%
Jaguares FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
Atlante FC
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.3%
Win probability
Jaguares FC
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atlante FC
+13%
-8%
Jaguares FC

ELO progression

Atlante FC
Jaguares FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atlante FC
Atlante FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2013
ATL
Atlante FC
1 - 0
Pumas UNAM
PUM
37%
28%
35%
69 78 9 0
19 Sep. 2013
JAG
Jaguares FC
3 - 0
Atlante FC
ATL
66%
20%
14%
69 77 8 0
14 Sep. 2013
QRO
Querétaro
1 - 0
Atlante FC
ATL
58%
24%
19%
70 75 5 -1
08 Sep. 2013
ATL
Atlante FC
2 - 2
CA Morelia
MOR
25%
26%
49%
70 83 13 0
01 Sep. 2013
PUE
Puebla
1 - 0
Atlante FC
ATL
53%
25%
23%
70 73 3 0

Matches

Jaguares FC
Jaguares FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2013
AME
América
3 - 1
Jaguares FC
JAG
63%
21%
16%
77 83 6 0
19 Sep. 2013
JAG
Jaguares FC
3 - 0
Atlante FC
ATL
66%
20%
14%
77 69 8 0
15 Sep. 2013
JAG
Jaguares FC
3 - 0
Atlas Guadalajara
ATS
53%
25%
22%
76 76 0 +1
08 Sep. 2013
LEO
León
0 - 1
Jaguares FC
JAG
59%
23%
18%
76 81 5 0
01 Sep. 2013
JAG
Jaguares FC
3 - 1
Tijuana
TIJ
40%
26%
34%
75 81 6 +1