Cup Paulista Segunda Ronda round 3

Atibaia vs São Caetano analysis

Atibaia São Caetano
56 ELO 62
-8.8% Tilt -2.4%
30033º General ELO ranking 5795º
779º Country ELO ranking 232º
ELO win probability
28%
Atibaia
26.1%
Draw
45.9%
São Caetano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
Atibaia
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
45.9%
Win probability
São Caetano
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Atibaia
São Caetano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atibaia
Atibaia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 2018
ATI
Atibaia
0 - 0
Rio Claro
RIO
40%
26%
34%
55 55 0 0
29 Sep. 2018
VOT
Votuporanguense
0 - 1
Atibaia
ATI
37%
25%
38%
55 53 2 0
22 Sep. 2018
NAC
Nacional SP
1 - 4
Atibaia
ATI
46%
25%
30%
53 55 2 +2
19 Sep. 2018
ATI
Atibaia
4 - 2
Taboão da Serra
TAB
66%
21%
13%
53 39 14 0
12 Sep. 2018
ATI
Atibaia
2 - 2
Ituano
ITU
32%
26%
42%
53 57 4 0

Matches

São Caetano
São Caetano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Oct. 2018
SAO
São Caetano
0 - 1
Votuporanguense
VOT
63%
23%
14%
64 53 11 0
30 Sep. 2018
RIO
Rio Claro
1 - 1
São Caetano
SAO
26%
26%
48%
64 55 9 0
22 Sep. 2018
SAO
São Caetano
0 - 0
Santo André
SAN
56%
24%
20%
64 56 8 0
15 Sep. 2018
SAN
Santos B
1 - 2
São Caetano
SAO
9%
16%
76%
64 45 19 0
12 Sep. 2018
SAO
São Bernardo FC
1 - 1
São Caetano
SAO
27%
26%
47%
64 56 8 0