Athlone Town vs Finn Harps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
9º
4º
46
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlone Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
BRW
3 - 0
ATH
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
TRE
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CAO
1 - 0
ATH
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
ATH
3 - 3
LON
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
DRO
4 - 0
ATH
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 1
UCD
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
FIN
2 - 0
BRW
52%
25%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 1
FIN
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
FIN
0 - 0
KEF
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 9 | 42 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
WEX
1 - 2
FIN
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |