FAI Cup Semi-finals

Athlone Town vs Dundalk analysis

Athlone Town Dundalk
40 ELO 78
30.8% Tilt 11.4%
3457º General ELO ranking 980º
17º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
6%
Athlone Town
13.1%
Draw
80.9%
Dundalk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
Athlone Town
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
80.9%
Win probability
Dundalk
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.6%
0-4
8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Athlone Town
+17%
-24%
Dundalk

ELO progression

Athlone Town
Dundalk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Athlone Town
Athlone Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Oct. 2020
ATH
Athlone Town
4 - 1
Shelbourne
SHE
15%
20%
65%
38 62 24 0
27 Oct. 2020
ATH
Athlone Town
0 - 1
Bray Wanderers
BRW
19%
23%
59%
38 59 21 0
17 Oct. 2020
SHA
Shamrock Rovers II
3 - 1
Athlone Town
ATH
72%
17%
11%
39 49 10 -1
09 Oct. 2020
ATH
Athlone Town
2 - 4
UC Dublin
UCD
22%
20%
58%
40 51 11 -1
02 Oct. 2020
DRO
Drogheda United
0 - 2
Athlone Town
ATH
75%
16%
9%
37 60 23 +3

Matches

Dundalk
Dundalk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2020
DUN
Dundalk
1 - 3
Rapid Wien
RAP
33%
23%
44%
78 81 3 0
20 Nov. 2020
BOH
Bohemian FC
1 - 4
Dundalk
DUN
33%
25%
42%
78 71 7 0
09 Nov. 2020
DUN
Dundalk
0 - 2
Sligo Rovers
SLR
77%
16%
7%
78 60 18 0
05 Nov. 2020
RAP
Rapid Wien
4 - 3
Dundalk
DUN
56%
23%
22%
79 81 2 -1
01 Nov. 2020
STP
St Patrick's
1 - 1
Dundalk
DUN
13%
23%
64%
79 61 18 0