Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Athletic vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
4.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.3%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
1.4%
9-2
0.4%
10-3
0.1%
+7
4.1%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
2.6%
8-2
0.7%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
7.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
4.2%
7-2
1.4%
8-3
0.3%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
6%
6-2
2.3%
7-3
0.5%
8-4
0.1%
+4
15.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
3.3%
6-3
0.9%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
0.1%
+1
12.4%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
7.2%
4.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1951 |
ATH
5 - 1
ESP
84%
9%
7%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
ESP
4 - 2
ATH
53%
19%
28%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
FCB
2 - 1
ATH
63%
18%
20%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
ATH
3 - 0
SEV
75%
13%
12%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
DEP
4 - 0
ATH
43%
22%
35%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1951 |
SPO
6 - 2
UES
75%
14%
11%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
SAB
2 - 0
SPO
45%
22%
34%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
SPO
3 - 1
RCF
73%
15%
12%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
SGL
1 - 0
SPO
40%
24%
36%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
SPO
2 - 1
BAD
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |