Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 5-2
Athletic vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
11.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
ATH
5 - 1
RAC
78%
13%
10%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
RAC
3 - 0
ATH
33%
23%
44%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
RAC
2 - 3
ATH
34%
23%
43%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
ATM
3 - 4
ATH
41%
23%
36%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
ATH
4 - 3
FCB
53%
22%
25%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
RSG
0 - 2
RSO
22%
23%
55%
|
80 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
RSO
2 - 0
RSG
87%
9%
5%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
ESP
3 - 1
RSO
64%
19%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
RUN
3 - 2
RSO
44%
20%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
RSO
2 - 0
ATM
63%
18%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |