Athletic vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
ATH
1 - 3
MLL
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2010 |
OSA
0 - 0
ATH
43%
27%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ATH
0 - 0
ZAR
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
VCF
2 - 0
ATH
69%
19%
13%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ATH
4 - 1
ALM
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
MAL
1 - 1
SPO
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
MLL
1 - 1
MAL
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
MAL
0 - 0
VAD
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
OSA
2 - 2
MAL
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
MAL
1 - 2
SEV
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |