Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 7-3
Athletic vs RC Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
3.66
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.6%
5.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
DEP
3 - 2
ATH
32%
23%
45%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
OVI
2 - 0
ATH
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
ATH
2 - 5
SEV
76%
13%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
ATM
0 - 1
ATH
53%
21%
26%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
ATH
4 - 1
OSA
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
RC Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
DEP
3 - 2
ATH
32%
23%
45%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
DEP
5 - 1
SSC
73%
16%
11%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
CDO
3 - 0
DEP
49%
22%
29%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1960 |
CDC
2 - 2
DEP
55%
22%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
DEP
3 - 1
AVI
73%
16%
11%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |