Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-1
Athletic vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
5.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1962 |
MAL
1 - 1
ATH
37%
24%
39%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
ATH
1 - 1
ELC
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
VCF
2 - 2
ATH
51%
23%
26%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
ATH
5 - 1
ATM
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
MLL
1 - 3
ATH
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1962 |
MAL
1 - 1
ATH
37%
24%
39%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
MAL
2 - 0
MUR
72%
18%
11%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1962 |
VAL
2 - 2
MAL
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
MAL
4 - 2
CEU
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1962 |
MAL
3 - 1
OSA
47%
22%
31%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +2 |