Athletic vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
46.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
ELC
0 - 0
ATH
26%
27%
47%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ATH
1 - 0
GET
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
ATH
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
VCF
1 - 1
ATH
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
ATH
4 - 0
GRA
69%
19%
13%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 0
GRA
82%
13%
5%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BET
0 - 2
ATM
17%
25%
58%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 0
ESP
80%
14%
6%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
ATM
4 - 1
ACM
67%
19%
14%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 2
ATM
16%
24%
60%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |