Athletic vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
MLL
1 - 3
ATH
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
ATH
1 - 2
ESP
73%
16%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1962 |
SAB
3 - 2
ATH
30%
25%
45%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
OSA
0 - 4
ATH
46%
23%
31%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
ATH
1 - 0
BET
71%
16%
13%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
ATM
1 - 1
FCB
52%
21%
27%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
RSO
1 - 0
ATM
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1962 |
ATM
3 - 1
BRE
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
ATM
4 - 0
SEV
72%
15%
13%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
RAC
1 - 0
ATM
28%
25%
47%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |