Bilbao Ath. vs Sestao Sport Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
18.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1986 |
ATB
0 - 1
ATH
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
ATH
1 - 1
ZAR
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
MAL
6 - 1
ATH
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
ATH
6 - 2
FCB
62%
23%
14%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
CAS
0 - 0
ATH
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sestao Sport Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1986 |
SEV
0 - 0
SSC
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
SSC
3 - 0
LOG
54%
27%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1986 |
UDL
2 - 1
SSC
71%
16%
13%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
MLL
4 - 1
SSC
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1986 |
SSC
2 - 0
UDL
43%
25%
33%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |