Bilbao Ath. vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
SEV
0 - 1
ATH
39%
24%
36%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
LLE
2 - 0
ATH
58%
23%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
ATH
3 - 0
SEV
84%
11%
6%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
ATH
3 - 0
CFC
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
FIG
1 - 0
ATH
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
RMC
6 - 1
POL
84%
11%
6%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
RMC
4 - 0
CAS
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1987 |
FCB
2 - 3
RMC
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
POL
0 - 3
RMC
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
RMC
0 - 1
RAC
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |