Bilbao Ath. vs Real Valladolid Promesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
GER
0 - 0
ATH
34%
28%
38%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
ATH
1 - 1
ALA
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
ATH
0 - 1
NOJ
69%
20%
11%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
AMU
4 - 2
ATH
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
BAR
1 - 0
ATH
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
VAL
0 - 1
OSA
43%
29%
28%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
BAR
4 - 0
VAL
66%
21%
13%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
VAL
0 - 0
GIM
40%
28%
32%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
ZAR
2 - 0
VAL
57%
24%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
VAL
1 - 2
NOJ
66%
21%
13%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |