Bilbao Ath. vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
DEP
0 - 0
ATH
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
ATH
3 - 1
UDL
45%
26%
30%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
RAC
1 - 2
ATH
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1989 |
ATH
2 - 0
ROB
84%
12%
5%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1989 |
BAR
1 - 2
ATH
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1989 |
CAS
3 - 1
MUR
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
MUR
0 - 1
BET
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
SSC
1 - 1
MUR
42%
30%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1989 |
MUR
3 - 4
CAS
55%
23%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
MUR
1 - 2
PAL
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | -1 |