Bilbao Ath. vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
LEI
1 - 4
ATH
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ATH
3 - 1
SDA
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
GIM
0 - 0
ATH
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
ATH
2 - 0
TUD
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
ARE
0 - 0
ATH
24%
25%
51%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
GER
1 - 1
RUN
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
UES
1 - 0
GER
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CLH
3 - 1
GER
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
GER
1 - 0
CDU
58%
24%
18%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
GER
0 - 0
SPB
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |