Bilbao Ath. vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.3%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
48.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
CDO
1 - 1
ATH
36%
26%
39%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
ATH
1 - 1
RAY
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
PON
1 - 1
ATH
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
ATH
3 - 0
SDF
88%
9%
3%
|
50 | 10 | 40 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
CUL
1 - 1
ATH
19%
23%
57%
|
50 | 16 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
ESP
5 - 0
SLA
86%
10%
3%
|
78 | 41 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
BUR
0 - 0
ESP
32%
30%
38%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
MAL
2 - 2
ESP
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
ESP
0 - 3
MAL
72%
16%
11%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
MAL
4 - 0
ESP
44%
28%
28%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |