Bilbao Ath. vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
CDO
3 - 0
ATH
33%
30%
37%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
XER
2 - 0
ATH
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
ATH
2 - 1
REC
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
SSC
1 - 2
ATH
49%
28%
23%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
CDT
3 - 0
ATH
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
CDU
1 - 1
ROB
60%
23%
16%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
CDU
0 - 2
SSC
22%
27%
51%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1988 |
UPL
2 - 0
CDU
54%
26%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
CDU
0 - 1
EIB
29%
34%
37%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1988 |
CDU
1 - 0
BAS
46%
31%
23%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |