Bilbao Ath. vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
VIL
3 - 0
ATH
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
ATH
1 - 3
CDT
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1996 |
SSC
5 - 3
ATH
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
ATH
3 - 1
AMA
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
ATH
1 - 1
LLE
44%
27%
30%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
ALM
1 - 1
EXT
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALM
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1996 |
ALM
3 - 1
LOG
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
LEG
0 - 0
ALM
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
ALM
1 - 3
RMC
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |