Atalanta vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
15.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
COM
1 - 0
ATL
38%
33%
30%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
BRI
0 - 0
ATL
40%
25%
36%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAG
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
ATL
4 - 0
TAR
68%
20%
13%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1973 |
VIC
0 - 0
ATL
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
NOV
2 - 1
FCC
52%
28%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
LAZ
6 - 0
NOV
77%
14%
9%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
VAR
1 - 0
NOV
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
NOV
0 - 0
ROM
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1973 |
NOV
1 - 1
BRE
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |