Atalanta vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
ASS
0 - 0
ATL
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
ATL
3 - 1
ACP
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
ATL
2 - 1
VER
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
PAR
1 - 0
ATL
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
ATL
1 - 1
LEC
76%
15%
9%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
MES
0 - 0
CAT
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
PAL
0 - 2
MES
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
MES
3 - 0
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
MES
3 - 1
TAR
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
REG
0 - 0
MES
61%
22%
18%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |