Serie A round 18

Atalanta vs Lazio analysis

Atalanta Lazio
66 ELO 76
-21.5% Tilt -24.2%
19º General ELO ranking 32º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
36.7%
Atalanta
28.8%
Draw
34.6%
Lazio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
Atalanta
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
34.6%
Win probability
Lazio
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Atalanta
Lazio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 1979
TOR
Torino
3 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
81%
13%
6%
67 85 18 0
28 Jan. 1979
ATL
Atalanta
0 - 2
Catanzaro
FCC
52%
28%
20%
68 68 0 -1
21 Jan. 1979
VIC
Vicenza
1 - 1
Atalanta
ATL
67%
22%
12%
67 75 8 +1
14 Jan. 1979
ATL
Atalanta
2 - 0
Roma
ROM
43%
30%
27%
66 75 9 +1
07 Jan. 1979
AVE
Avellino
0 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
48%
31%
21%
66 63 3 0

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 1979
LAZ
Lazio
0 - 0
Avellino
AVE
68%
21%
11%
76 64 12 0
28 Jan. 1979
JUV
Juventus
2 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
71%
18%
11%
77 87 10 -1
21 Jan. 1979
ACM
Milan
2 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
67%
20%
13%
77 85 8 0
14 Jan. 1979
LAZ
Lazio
0 - 0
Perugia
PRG
53%
26%
21%
77 79 2 0
07 Jan. 1979
NAP
Napoli
0 - 2
Lazio
LAZ
61%
22%
17%
76 81 5 +1