Atalanta vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 2
SEV
22%
25%
54%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 2
PAL
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
NAP
2 - 0
ATL
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 1
BOL
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
INT
3 - 1
ATL
79%
15%
6%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
FOL
3 - 2
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
PRG
0 - 2
FOL
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
FOL
3 - 1
ASF
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
PRO
4 - 2
FOL
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 1
VAR
42%
28%
30%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |