Atalanta vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
ATL
0 - 1
PAD
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
PRO
0 - 0
ATL
59%
22%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
ATL
1 - 1
LAZ
52%
22%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
JUV
1 - 0
ATL
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
MOD
2 - 0
ATL
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
BOL
1 - 1
TRI
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
MOD
0 - 1
BOL
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
BOL
3 - 1
NOV
68%
18%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
BOL
6 - 2
LIV
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
GEN
0 - 0
BOL
62%
19%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |