Atlético B vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
RCF
1 - 0
ATB
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
ATB
4 - 3
COM
70%
20%
10%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
PPJ
2 - 1
ATB
37%
28%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
ATB
2 - 2
COB
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
RAY
0 - 0
ATB
68%
21%
11%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 1
LEG
34%
28%
39%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
FUE
1 - 2
LUG
57%
25%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
LUG
0 - 1
TAL
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
RAC
1 - 0
LUG
40%
27%
34%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
RCF
0 - 1
LUG
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |