Atlético B vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
7.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1979 |
SSC
0 - 1
ATB
69%
20%
11%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
ATB
5 - 1
ATH
42%
29%
29%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
UPL
3 - 1
ATB
64%
23%
14%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
ATB
2 - 0
CDT
38%
31%
32%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
HUE
3 - 0
ATB
69%
20%
10%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1979 |
LUG
1 - 3
OVI
26%
32%
42%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
PEG
2 - 0
LUG
64%
23%
13%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
LUG
1 - 0
CDO
37%
31%
31%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
PON
2 - 0
LUG
71%
21%
9%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
TRJ
1 - 0
LUG
77%
16%
7%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |