Atlético Ciudad vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Ciudad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
ECI
1 - 3
CIU
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CIU
2 - 0
SRQ
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SEV
3 - 1
CIU
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
CIU
4 - 2
EST
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
RJA
3 - 0
CIU
57%
26%
17%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
LUC
6 - 0
AGU
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
AGD
1 - 0
LUC
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 2
LUC
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
LUC
3 - 2
ECI
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SRQ
1 - 0
LUC
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |