Astur vs SD Lenense Proinastur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 0
AST
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
AST
1 - 0
PRA
46%
25%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LLA
2 - 1
AST
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
AST
2 - 1
AND
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ROC
1 - 1
AST
42%
25%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SD Lenense Proinastur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LEN
0 - 3
ATL
24%
24%
52%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
URR
2 - 1
LEN
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LEN
1 - 4
CON
18%
23%
60%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 1
LEN
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
LEN
0 - 3
CAU
11%
19%
70%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | -1 |