Aston Villa vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
ASV
2 - 1
WAT
55%
23%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1984 |
TOT
2 - 1
ASV
58%
23%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
LEI
2 - 0
ASV
42%
25%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
ASV
2 - 0
COV
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
BIR
2 - 1
ASV
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
LUT
3 - 2
NOT
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
NOT
1 - 0
MUD
33%
26%
42%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
WOL
0 - 1
NOT
47%
27%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
NOT
0 - 0
NTT
39%
26%
36%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
BIR
0 - 0
NOT
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |