Aston Villa vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1925 |
BOL
1 - 3
ASV
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1925 |
ASV
2 - 2
NEW
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1925 |
ASV
2 - 2
MUD
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1925 |
LEE
2 - 2
ASV
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1925 |
MUD
3 - 0
ASV
35%
27%
39%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1925 |
NOT
0 - 1
BUR
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1925 |
BIR
0 - 1
NOT
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1925 |
NOT
3 - 0
BOL
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1925 |
BUR
0 - 0
NOT
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1925 |
NEW
6 - 3
NOT
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |