Aston Villa vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1930 |
BBU
2 - 0
ASV
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1930 |
ASV
4 - 1
GRI
77%
14%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1930 |
ASV
4 - 2
MID
66%
18%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1930 |
LIV
2 - 0
ASV
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1930 |
ASV
5 - 3
HUR
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1930 |
BOL
1 - 1
NEW
59%
21%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1930 |
NEW
1 - 1
ARS
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1930 |
NEW
1 - 1
BIR
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1930 |
OPA
2 - 0
NEW
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1930 |
NEW
2 - 2
MAC
55%
21%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |