Aston Villa vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
50.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ASV
2 - 0
NOR
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
WHU
2 - 0
ASV
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ASV
0 - 4
MAC
10%
19%
71%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
WBA
0 - 0
ASV
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
ASV
2 - 0
WYC
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
WHU
2 - 1
LIV
39%
25%
36%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LIV
2 - 2
SUN
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
LEI
2 - 0
LIV
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LIV
0 - 0
WHU
54%
25%
22%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
LIV
0 - 1
STO
54%
25%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |