Aston Villa vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1992 |
TOT
2 - 5
ASV
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1992 |
ASV
1 - 1
SHE
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1992 |
ASV
1 - 0
NOR
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1992 |
CRY
0 - 0
ASV
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1992 |
ASV
0 - 1
QPR
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1992 |
LIV
2 - 3
WIM
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
LIV
1 - 1
OPA
74%
18%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1992 |
LIV
4 - 0
NOT
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1992 |
SHE
2 - 0
LIV
25%
26%
49%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1992 |
LIV
2 - 1
TOT
66%
21%
13%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |