Aston Villa vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1963 |
ASV
3 - 1
LEI
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1963 |
WBA
1 - 0
ASV
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1963 |
ASV
3 - 1
MAC
62%
20%
19%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1963 |
ASV
0 - 2
NTT
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1963 |
SHE
2 - 1
ASV
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1963 |
BOL
1 - 0
LIV
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1963 |
SHE
0 - 0
LIV
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1963 |
LIV
5 - 1
BIR
59%
21%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1963 |
LEY
2 - 1
LIV
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1963 |
LIV
0 - 2
SHW
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |