Aston Villa vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
ASV
2 - 0
EVE
40%
29%
32%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
MAC
1 - 0
ASV
37%
27%
36%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
ASV
2 - 0
CHL
16%
26%
58%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
WRE
0 - 5
ASV
8%
19%
73%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ASV
2 - 1
FUL
43%
27%
30%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
CHA
2 - 0
LEI
63%
22%
16%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2007 |
NTT
2 - 3
LEI
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
LEI
1 - 1
QPR
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
PLY
0 - 0
LEI
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
LEI
4 - 1
WAT
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |