Aston Villa vs Hull City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
11%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11%
3.2%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1998 |
ASV
2 - 1
SHW
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1998 |
BBU
2 - 1
ASV
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1998 |
CHA
0 - 1
ASV
30%
27%
42%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
ASV
3 - 2
ARS
44%
28%
29%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1998 |
CHL
2 - 1
ASV
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hull City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1998 |
STF
3 - 2
HUL
68%
20%
13%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1998 |
HUL
1 - 2
CHE
37%
27%
37%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
HUL
0 - 2
SWA
33%
28%
40%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
GUL
2 - 0
HUL
58%
24%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
LUT
1 - 2
HUL
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | +2 |