Aston Villa vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
18.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1954 |
ASV
0 - 0
HUR
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1954 |
BOL
3 - 3
ASV
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1954 |
ASV
1 - 2
CHA
57%
20%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1954 |
ASV
1 - 2
NEW
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1954 |
BPO
0 - 1
ASV
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1954 |
MAC
1 - 0
EVE
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1954 |
EVE
1 - 1
CAR
56%
23%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1954 |
CHL
0 - 2
EVE
61%
20%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1954 |
WBA
3 - 3
EVE
69%
17%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1954 |
EVE
2 - 2
LEI
58%
21%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |