Aston Villa vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1919 |
ASV
3 - 0
OLD
69%
18%
14%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1919 |
MUD
1 - 2
ASV
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1919 |
ASV
2 - 0
MUD
64%
19%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1919 |
ASV
4 - 0
SHE
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1919 |
SHE
1 - 2
ASV
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1919 |
SHE
3 - 1
CHL
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1919 |
CHL
3 - 1
ARS
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1919 |
ARS
1 - 1
CHL
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1919 |
CHL
3 - 1
MID
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1919 |
MID
0 - 0
CHL
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |