Aston Villa vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1962 |
MUD
2 - 2
ASV
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1962 |
ASV
2 - 1
BUR
40%
23%
37%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1962 |
ASV
6 - 2
PNE
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1962 |
SHW
0 - 0
ASV
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1962 |
ASV
1 - 2
FUL
62%
19%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1962 |
BOL
0 - 0
BBU
55%
22%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1962 |
BPO
3 - 1
BOL
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1962 |
BOL
3 - 1
MAC
48%
22%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1962 |
WHU
1 - 2
BOL
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1962 |
BOL
1 - 0
NTT
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |