ASD Asti vs Borgaro Nobis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
13º
10º
21
6º
19º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 88 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 76 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 75 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 74 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 66 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 66 |
6º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 62 |
7º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 61 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 50 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 49 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 47 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 47 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 46 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 45 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 40 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 39 |
16º
|
18% | |
|
|
17º
|
21 | 32 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
19º
|
19 | 32 |
18º
|
21.5% | |
|
18º
|
20 | 29 |
19º
|
25% | |
|
20º
|
17 | 29 |
20º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 3% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 61.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 35.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Asti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FOS
2 - 2
AST
20%
23%
57%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
AST
1 - 0
ASD
28%
28%
44%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +3 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
AST
40%
29%
31%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
AST
1 - 0
PRO
62%
21%
18%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LIG
2 - 2
AST
62%
23%
16%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Borgaro Nobis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BOR
0 - 4
ACS
51%
22%
27%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
OLT
2 - 2
BOR
30%
21%
49%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BOR
0 - 3
FOS
54%
21%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BOR
1 - 2
ASD
28%
26%
46%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 0
BOR
60%
22%
19%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |