Astana vs FC Irtysh Pavlodar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2018 |
KAI
0 - 2
AST
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
AST
3 - 0
ZHE
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
AKZ
3 - 0
AST
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
AST
3 - 1
FCA
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ATY
0 - 2
AST
25%
27%
48%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Irtysh Pavlodar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
KAI
2 - 0
FCI
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
FCI
2 - 0
AKZ
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
FCA
1 - 1
FCI
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
MAQ
0 - 3
FCI
23%
26%
51%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
FCI
5 - 0
KYZ
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |